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LESAKA TECHNOLOGIES INC (LSAK)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue was $146.8M (ZAR 2.6B), at the upper end of guidance, while Group Adjusted EBITDA was $11.8M (ZAR 211.8M), exceeding guidance; FY2025 guidance reaffirmed and FY2026 Group Adjusted EBITDA introduced at ZAR 1.25–1.45B .
- GAAP EPS was -$0.40, driven by a tax-adjusted $26.6M non-operating, non-cash fair-value change in MobiKwik; non-GAAP fundamental EPS was $0.01, up 12% in ZAR year-over-year .
- Merchant net revenue rose 68% Y/Y in ZAR and Consumer net revenue rose 31% Y/Y in ZAR; strong Consumer KPIs (EPE permanent base +16% to 1.4M, ARPU ZAR 94, loan book ZAR 709M) underpin momentum .
- Near-term catalysts: comprehensive debt refinance expected in the current quarter, planned MobiKwik monetization post lock-up in mid-May, and positive regulatory developments (ASAPP launch; SARB considering non-bank exemptions) that could accelerate revenue and lower costs .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Exceeded Group Adjusted EBITDA guidance and reaffirmed FY2025 ranges; introduced FY2026 EBITDA guidance, signaling confidence in scalability. “We have now delivered on our profitability guidance for ten successive quarters.” — Executive Chairman Ali Mazanderani .
- Consumer division delivered strong growth: permanent EPE base 1.4M (+16% Y/Y), ARPU ZAR 94 (+11% Y/Y), gross advances ZAR 617M (+38% Y/Y), book ZAR 709M (+41% Y/Y) with a ~6% loss ratio and improving cross-sell (loan penetration 43%, insurance 35%) .
- Merchant acquiring scaled: >80,000 card-enabled POS devices and throughput up to ZAR 11.3B in Q2 (vs ZAR 4.1B in Q2 2024), supported by Adumo integration and Kazang Pay growth (+19% throughput Y/Y) .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP net loss of $32.1M and EPS -$0.40 primarily due to a pretax write-down of ZAR 615M on MobiKwik (tax benefit ZAR 117M); non-operating and non-cash but overshadowed the P&L .
- Merchant GAAP revenue fell 5% Y/Y in ZAR, with margins pressured by mix shift to lower-commission supplier-enabled payments and front-loaded investment in Kazang operations; management expects a pull-through of higher-margin throughput in future quarters .
- Net interest expense rose given higher borrowing to fund Adumo and consumer lending; short-term gearing increased before expected refinance completion this quarter .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance (USD)
Year-over-Year Snapshot (USD/ZAR)
Segment Breakdown (USD/ZAR) – Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024
Note: Merchant net revenue and segment EBITDA prior-year figures and Consumer prior-year net revenue/EBITDA are from reconciliation and divisional disclosures in attachments; USD/ZAR amounts reflect reported translations .
Operating Metrics and KPIs (ZAR unless noted)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We exceeded our Group Adjusted EBITDA guidance for the quarter and can re-affirm our FY2025 guidance… Our Group Adjusted EBITDA guidance of ZAR 1.25 billion to ZAR 1.45 billion for FY2026 demonstrates our continued confidence in the Lesaka platform's scalability.” — Ali Mazanderani .
- “Post MobiKwik's listing... we now measure this investment applying the closing price… resulting in a pretax write-down of ZAR 615 million… Our intention is to monetize it in a disciplined manner once the lockup expires in mid-May.” — Dan Smith .
- “Throughput on [merchant acquiring] devices jumped by ZAR 7.2 billion to ZAR 11.3 billion for the quarter… well supported by Kazang Pay, which saw a 19% year-on-year growth in throughput.” — Steven Heilbron .
- “Our active EPE customer base increased to 1.6 million… ARPU is now ZAR 94 per month… loan penetration increased to 43%… insurance up from 31% to 35%.” — Lincoln Mali .
- “FY '25 is a build and restructuring year for the Enterprise business… Recharger… expected to close in early March 2025… contribute approximately ZAR 40 million for our FY '25 group adjusted EBITDA for 4 months.” — Naeem Kola .
Q&A Highlights
- Sustainability of Consumer growth: Management emphasized three levers — expanding customer base, increasing cross-sell penetration (loans 43%, insurance 35%), and moving beyond grant base via Adumo Payouts and other underserved niches .
- FY2026 EBITDA drivers: At midpoint, FY2025 ZAR 950M vs FY2026 ZAR 1,350M (~42% Y/Y); ~25% organic growth excluding Adumo/Recharger, plus integration synergies .
- Leverage and refinancing: Gross debt ZAR 3.8B with comprehensive refinance expected in current quarter; net debt/EBITDA could reduce to ~2.4x (LTM) or ~2.1x including full-year Adumo .
- Regulatory pathway: SARB’s contemplated Banks Act exemption would enable activity-based regulation for non-banks, potentially accelerating revenue and reducing costs .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q2 2025 were unavailable due to a data access limitation at the time of request; therefore, comparison versus Wall Street consensus could not be provided. Results are evaluated versus company guidance: revenue landed at the upper end and Group Adjusted EBITDA exceeded guidance, while GAAP EPS was negative due to a non-cash fair-value adjustment .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Earnings quality: Despite a headline GAAP loss from a non-cash MobiKwik mark-to-market, non-GAAP fundamentals (adjusted EBITDA and fundamental EPS) improved; watch for post-lockup monetization and deleveraging that could re-rate equity risk .
- Consumer engine: Rising ARPU, expanding permanent base, and increasing loan/insurance penetration point to durable growth; digital and distribution enhancements should sustain momentum .
- Merchant scale and mix: Rapid scale in acquiring and supplier payments drives throughput, but near-term margin mix headwinds require attention; management expects margin pull-through as investments monetize .
- FY2026 profitability roadmap: New EBITDA guidance (ZAR 1.25–1.45B) and stated pathway to positive profit after tax in FY2026 underpin medium-term upside if execution and regulatory tailwinds persist .
- Balance sheet catalysts: Comprehensive refinance and potential MobiKwik monetization could lower interest burden and reduce net leverage toward ~2x medium-term target .
- Regulatory upside: ASAPP launch and SARB’s contemplated exemptions may unlock activity-based regulation for non-banks, improving economics and competitive positioning .
- Integration synergies: Adumo and pending Recharger integration should augment Merchant and Enterprise offerings, expanding TAM and cross-sell opportunities across the platform .